Saturday, December 13, 2008

Zakaria, not to be confused with the Kurdish pop star


One of my favorite columnists, the intelligent, articulate, multicultural counterpoint to Lou Dobbsian xenophobia and isolationism, Fareed Zakaria at Newsweek, has a new column out asking the Obama administration to make the formation of a National Grand Strategy a top Foreign Policy objective. The "Diplomacy by CNN" approach, where by US policy objectives are picked from news headlines, is just too reactive, whereas a Grand Strategy can unite us, and give us a real objective to pursue and work towards with our allies.

In fact, the whole Newsweek for 8 DEC 08 is like a 21st Century Foreign Policy Primer, balanced well with some great commentators, most of whom I agree with, some whom I don't. Go get it. Now.

Who's Your City - Richard Florida's regional based analysis of Globalization

David Eaves, who created this awesome map of Firefox pledges mashed with the Pentagon's New Map by Barnett, has struck again.

Here is an awesome new map comparing the "Global Village" concept, which I crudely summarize as development and innovation led by the Mega-Cities of the world; and their presence in relation to Barnett's map. He also has a great summary of the three different levels of analysis offered in turn by Friedman, Barnett, and Florida.

The 3D approach? (Diplomacy, Defense, Development) The Villages cooperate to defend each other and build new ones in the "Gap." All of which allows them to make more money, effectively incentivizing growth and collective security.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

In the Navy . . .


Amphibs are where it's at, I would support cutting the carrier force by about 4 in return for 6 ship increase in Major Amphibs (LHA/LHD), and the LPDs (pictured here) and LSDs to go along with them.

What the Amphibs are for the US is what the USS Enterprise (the spaceship, not the aircraft carrier) is for the Federation. They provide incredible capabilities for rapid intervention in conflicts and humanitarian crisis, and the most effective way to stop a conflict is to nip it in the bud. An Amphib has the engineering, medical, and just enough combat capability to deal with a brewing conflict before it goes high-intensity.

The joke goes, how many aircraft carriers do you need? Just one, but you need it every where, all the time, with better reliability, carriers operational availability is improving enough that we can certainly afford to reduce the number, especially if we add a few Apmhibs to compensate. Amphibs also have additional usage beyond military, just look at the USS Kearsarge deployment in South America, all medical-related.

This goes along with my wider idea that we should have two military forces, a small task force or Joint Strike Force that is sized to take down the military of the largest potential nation-state competitor (nuclear powers don't count, its just not worth it). This force would be mainly built on Naval and Air Force airpower, and have all the cool whiz-bang toys. Abrams go here, FCS go here, F22/F35, CVNs, Subs, etc.

The other, much larger force would be a Counterinsurgency-Stabilization force that responds to Humanitarian and Intrastate conflicts. It would be mainly designed to stop states from failing or rebuild failed ones (including post-US intervention). It would primarily be based on Army and Marine infantry/engineer/civil affairs forces, and it gets the not so sexy armored cars, language, and cultural training. Strykers go here, MRAPs go here, UAVs and COIN birds like Super Tucanos, Amphibs, LCS, etc.

The only way to protect these two capabilities is to split them apart, otherwise we'll constantly be swinging from one side to the other depending on whose in charge. We need a warrior ethos, and we need a nation-builder.

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

The New Foreign Policy Team


  • National Security Adviser: James Jones
  • Department of Defense: Bob Gates - yay!
  • State Department: Hillary Clinton
  • Department of Homeland Security: Janet Napolitano
  • US ambassador to the UN: Susan Rice

Congratulations, all very respectable choices, and good luck, you guys have more on your shoulders than anyone can possibly imagine, but I'm sure by now you know that.